John Goekler applies the science of Complex Adaptive Systems to exploring issues like global security, governance, educational transformation and organizational effectiveness. He lives in Santa Fe, New Mexico.
The U.S. is unable to adapt to the Taliban's ability to adapt.
How Israel can walk back settlements yet save face.
To insurgents, invasion will always trump ideology as the reason they resist.
Behold the lowly caltrop -- it's ROI is off the charts.
Crime syndicates and militias need to provide benefits to communities to survive.
Simplifying the COIN game plan.
Wildfires, like conflicts between states, are fast, dynamic and fierce.
The definition of insanity applied to foreign policy.
Gangs, tribes, and sects -- aka, Other Guys -- only have to not lose to win wars.
Stewart Brand said, "Information wants to be free." Only politicians believe they can contain it.
The dinosaur of the nation-state is headed towards the tar pits.
It's time to accentuate the positive with Somalia.
After over 60 years of friendship, Israel -- of its own volition and through its own actions -- has become an economic and security liability to the US.
Why not hold Gen. Petraeus's performance in Afghanistan to the standards of his seminal work on counterinsurgency, Field Manual 3-24?
In the security biz, so-called "black swans" blindside you and maybe even inflict a career-ending injury.
It will likely be far more dangerous politically for Obama NOT to bring the boys home quickly than to "win" the war.
The prospect of mineral wealth in Afghanistan may be the worst thing that could happen to it.
A crash course on complexity science as seen through the lens of Israel.
Israel as we know it, will cease to exist in the foreseeable future.
Afghanistan is a landscape of "sink holes" into which our idea of governance has fallen.